Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.013859 0.016083 0.018536 0.021443 0.024790 0.028522 0.032999
2026-01-25 0.010307 0.013119 0.016503 0.020871 0.026355 0.033006 0.041681
2026-02-01 0.008016 0.011052 0.014994 0.020474 0.027879 0.037526 0.051038
2026-02-08 0.006471 0.009577 0.013885 0.020276 0.029488 0.042261 0.061290
2026-02-15 0.005247 0.008276 0.012737 0.019749 0.030456 0.046147 0.070840
2026-02-22 0.004636 0.007741 0.012565 0.020550 0.033382 0.053132 0.085749
2026-03-01 0.003974 0.006997 0.011929 0.020496 0.034928 0.058161 0.098268
2026-03-08 0.003316 0.006137 0.010959 0.019719 0.035139 0.061029 0.107602
2026-03-15 0.002878 0.005579 0.010399 0.019526 0.036261 0.065463 0.120024
2026-03-22 0.002685 0.005431 0.010529 0.020556 0.039635 0.074118 0.140802
2026-03-29 0.002455 0.005172 0.010411 0.021095 0.042158 0.081519 0.160166
2026-04-05 0.002131 0.004673 0.009759 0.020510 0.042449 0.084809 0.172187
2026-04-12 0.001885 0.004301 0.009317 0.020300 0.043490 0.089730 0.188151
2026-04-19 0.001642 0.003897 0.008750 0.019749 0.043763 0.093177 0.201615
2026-04-26 0.001447 0.003568 0.008294 0.019367 0.044333 0.097276 0.216913
2026-05-03 0.001294 0.003308 0.007949 0.019177 0.045282 0.102258 0.234656
2026-05-10 0.001139 0.003020 0.007498 0.018677 0.045462 0.105594 0.249193
2026-05-17 0.001081 0.002962 0.007577 0.019435 0.048640 0.115911 0.280604
2026-05-24 0.000983 0.002783 0.007338 0.019384 0.049887 0.121985 0.302957
2026-05-31 0.000860 0.002521 0.006852 0.018647 0.049359 0.123859 0.315601
2026-06-07 0.000779 0.002358 0.006597 0.018465 0.050194 0.129070 0.336935
2026-06-14 0.000757 0.002357 0.006770 0.019440 0.054137 0.142332 0.379783
2026-06-21 0.000716 0.002296 0.006772 0.019951 0.056919 0.153000 0.417279